By Keeping Current Matters

Higher mortgage rates don’t just affect buyers. They can change what it takes to sell your house, too.

That’s because today’s buyers are paying close attention to affordability. And when rates rise, even a relatively small change can make a noticeable difference in their monthly payment. So, they’re looking for ways to make the numbers work. And in some markets, new construction is giving them exactly that.

If you’re planning to sell, that doesn’t mean you can’t compete. But it does mean you need to understand what builders are doing to win over buyers – and what options you have, too.

Builders Are Competing on the Monthly Payment

New construction has something interesting going for it right now. While existing-home sales  (homes that have previously been lived in) continue to struggle under the weight of higher mortgage rates, new-home sales are holding up a bit better.

In a recent interview, Logan Mohtashami, Chief Economist at HousingWire explains new-home sales are at an 8-month high and are now running around 2019 levels. On the flip side, existing home sales are lagging behind and fall about 1 million home sales short of 2019 levels.

One big reason builders have been able to navigate higher rates differently is incentives. According to Realtor.com, nearly 1 in 5 (18.8%) newly built homes come with some kind of buyer incentive advertised up front:

The most common may surprise you. As the graph shows, many builders are offering reduced rates, sometimes through something called a mortgage rate buydown.

It’s essentially where they pay upfront costs to help buyers get a lower rate, and by extension, a lower monthly payment. It has obvious draws for buyers. For homebuilders, it helps them get their houses sold. So, a lot of builders see it as a win-win. That’s why reduced rates are a part of 13.8% of new home listings.

In some cases, builders are offering rates below 6%, maybe even far below 6%. And that can help buyers shave hundreds off their monthly payment. That’s a big difference to a buyer who are feeling the pinch right now.

So, How Can Sellers Like You Compete?

First, don’t assume a mortgage rate buydown is something only a builder can offer. Sellers can contribute toward a buyer’s rate buydown too, depending on the loan and transaction. Does that mean you should offer one? Or that you have to if you want to compete? Not necessarily.

A buydown is just one possible lever. Depending on your market and the buyer, it may make more sense to negotiate on price, contribute toward your buyer’s closing costs, make repairs, or make sure your house stands out in ways a new build can’t. That’s why working with an agent who knows your local competition matters. Joel Berner, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, says:

“Sellers of existing homes are facing a lot of competition from the new-home space. . . so sellers should highlight the local amenities of their neighborhoods in contrast to the more suburban or exurban communities where many new homes are built.”

A great agent will do this naturally anyways. Knowing what makes your house different and showcasing that in your listing can help your house stand out. And remember, being open to making a few compromises or throwing in some concessions can make a bigger difference for buyers than you may think.

Today’s Market Rewards Sellers Who Adapt

Builders have also been quicker to adjust their prices based on what buyers can actually afford and where demand is. That’s putting pressure on the resale market in some areas. Robert Dietz, Chief Economist at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), explains:

“. . . existing homeowners now have to do the price discovery that builders have been doing since 2022.”

That’s an important message if you’re hoping to sell.

You don’t automatically need to slash your price or offer a big concession. But you do need to price and market your house based on what buyers can pay today – not what sellers could get a few years ago.

And remember, this varies tremendously by location. New construction represents a much bigger share of the competition in some markets than others, and builder incentives aren’t equally common everywhere. So, lean on an agent to see how big of a factor builders are in your area.

Bottom Line

Higher mortgage rates are making buyers more cost-conscious. Builders know that, and many are responding with rate buydowns, closing-cost help, price reductions, and other incentives.

If you’re thinking about selling, talk to an agent about what buyers are getting from other homes in your area – including new construction – so you can make sure your house is positioned to compete.

Today’s housing market splits into four distinct types. You’ve got cash buyers, buyers financing a purchase, owners who feel locked into a low rate, and builders with homes to sell. Which type you’re in changes how you should buy or sell. Ryan Serhant, CEO of SERHANT agrees:

“There is no longer a housing market . . . There are four Americas.”

Here’s what each looks like, and what it means for you.

Cash Buyers: 1 in 4 Buyers Are Paying with Cash

If you already own a home, you may be able to buy your next place in cash thanks to your equity. In fact, 26% of existing home sales this summer were all-cash, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). That’s roughly 1 in 4 buyers skipping a home loan entirely.

Data from Realtor.com shows most are at the very top and very bottom of the market by price point (see graph below):

For Buyers: If you’re able to buy in cash too, having no financing contingency means your offer is going to look really appealing to sellers. You may get a faster close and more room to negotiate.

For Sellers: A cash offer can mean less risk of the deal falling through, but that certainty sometimes comes with a lower number attached. Compare the whole picture before deciding it’s automatically your best offer.

Buyers Using Financing: They’re Not Getting Help from Rates, But They Are from Sellers

If you’re looking to take out a mortgage, you should know mortgage rates aren’t likely to come down anytime soon. Data from Fannie Mae shows nearly half of experts actually raised their long-term rate forecast this year (see graphs below):

That’s tough for homebuyers relying on a mortgage, especially first-time buyers. But it’s not all bad news.

While buyers may not be getting the lower rates they want, at least there’s help to be had if you ask sellers for what you really need. Redfin data shows almost half of May sales included a concessionlike a rate buydown or closing-cost credit from the homeowner.

For Buyers: Stop waiting on rates to drop. Negotiate the concession instead. If the payment works today, that’s your signal.

For Sellers: Expect to negotiate. Build a concession into your pricing strategy from the start could be the thing that gets a deal done.

Rate-Locked Homeowners: Most Are Sitting on a Rate Below 5%

If you own a home already, you might not want to move and take on a higher rate than the one you’ve got. That’s the case for a lot of people. About 2 in 3 homeowners have a mortgage rate under 5%, according to Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) data (see graph below).

When a homeowner has a rate that low, it’s harder for them to want to move and leave behind that ultra-low rate. Because, they’d likely have to take on a higher one on their next home. Hence “rate locked” – they feel locked in.

And, according to Fannie Mae data, most experts think that lock-in will stick around another 3-5 years. That means this will continue to be a factor in how many homes come up for sale.

For Buyers: Fewer homeowners are listing, but the ones who do usually have a real reason to move. They’re often more flexible, motivated sellers.

For Sellers: Run the math on what your equity actually buys before ruling out a move. Got an FHA or VA loan? Ask about making it assumable. It’s rare, but it’s a real selling point.

Homebuilders: They’re Negotiating More Than You Think

If you’re looking at new construction, this might be your moment. According to the latest Censusdata, builders have more unsold new homes sitting around than usual, enough that it would take nearly 10 months to sell them all at the current pace (well above the normal 4-6 months pace). That’s pushing builders toward price cuts and rate buydowns.

For Buyers: That’s where the deals are right now. Just be sure to use your own agent and compare the whole incentive package, not only the price tag.

For Sellers: Lead with what a builder can’t offer – mature landscaping, an established neighborhood, and a house that’s ready today, not in 8 months. That can help your house seem like a better optiona

Bottom Line

Four different housing markets are running at once: cash buyers, financed buyers, locked-in owners, and builders. Each one plays by its own rules, and the right move for one is exactly the wrong move for another.

Connect with a local real estate agent to figure out which one you’re actually in and build your next move from there.

Price cuts are turning up everywhere right now, and they read very differently depending on which side of the deal you’re on.

Sellers tend to worry a cut means walking away with less than they hoped. Sometimes that’s true, but more often it just means the market moved faster than the listing did.

Buyers, for their part, often assume a cut means something’s wrong with the house. Most of the time, that’s not it.

This is what’s actually driving all those price cuts, and why it matters no matter which side of the deal you’re on.

42% of Homes for Sale Are Now Carrying a Price Cut

According to HousingWire Data, the share of sellers cutting their asking price has climbed every month for 7 straight months (see chart below):

Today, more than 4 in 10 active listings have had at least 1 price cut, and the typical seller is cutting about $17,560 off their original number.

Here’s why that’s happening. With rates still elevated and more homes to choose from, buyers can afford to wait for the right number. So, sellers who don’t start there often end up adjusting anyway.

What does that mean for you?

• If you’re selling, this isn’t a red flag. But it is a sign that pricing it right from day 1 is your best bet. Just know that the market’s been shifting fast enough this year that sometimes even a well-priced house can fall behind within a matter of weeks. If that happens to you, dropping your price to catch up to where pricing actually stands today tends to bring in more buyers and helps you sell closer to true market value.
• If you’re buying, it’s easy to assume a price cut means something’s wrong with the house. But with cuts happening on more than 4 in 10 homes right now, the reality is sellers are just catching up to where the market already is. And with affordability still tight, that’s exactly the kind of opening you need to get a better deal.

Why Sellers Are Adjusting Faster than Before

HousingWire Data also shows list prices are trending down nationally. That’s often a sign sellers are pricing more realistically from the start instead of listing high and getting stuck cutting later. List prices have fallen about $26,000 from last year’s peak.

Some of that decline is seasonal, since list prices typically soften each winter before rebounding in the spring. So, expect asking prices to keep drifting a little lower before turning back around (see chart below):

Jake Krimmel, Senior Economist at Realtor.com, explains:

“That is good news for buyers, who are seeing lower asking prices and more room to negotiate, but it is also good news for sellers: Pricing to today’s demand is helping homes move and keeping more transactions alive in a high-rate environment.”

Translation – with rates still elevated, buyers can only stretch so far. Sellers who meet them where they are instead of holding out for unrealistic prices are the ones actually getting to closing. And doing that up front is always better than chasing the market later.

Buyers, You’ve Got Room To Negotiate Again

At the same time, Redfin data shows sellers now outnumber buyers by about 58%, the widest gap on record (see chart below):

That changes the power dynamics of the market – and impacts how homeowners should price their house. Nationally, about 7 in 10 markets now favor buyers or are trending that way.

• For sellers, that means standing out matters as much as pricing. With more homes to choose from, buyers are comparing you directly against the competition. So, a little flexibility, like covering closing costs or being open on timing, can be what gets your house picked over another.
• For buyers, it means more room to ask for a lower price, help with closing costs, repairs after inspection, or some combination of all 3. That’s especially true for homes that have already sat for weeks, where sellers are often the most willing to talk.

Bottom Line

Price cuts are a normal part of today’s housing market, and both buyers and sellers can use them to their advantage. Connect with a local real estate agent to look at what’s actually happening with prices in your neighborhood, so you know exactly where you stand before you list or make an offer.